Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 6.034203e-05 0.000070 0.000080 0.000092 0.000104 0.000118 0.000133
2024-12-22 4.688829e-05 0.000059 0.000073 0.000090 0.000109 0.000131 0.000156
2024-12-29 3.789719e-05 0.000052 0.000068 0.000089 0.000114 0.000142 0.000177
2025-01-05 3.109286e-05 0.000046 0.000064 0.000088 0.000117 0.000152 0.000195
2025-01-12 2.523583e-05 0.000040 0.000059 0.000085 0.000118 0.000158 0.000209
2025-01-19 2.022128e-05 0.000035 0.000054 0.000081 0.000117 0.000162 0.000220
2025-01-26 1.662357e-05 0.000031 0.000050 0.000079 0.000118 0.000167 0.000232
2025-02-02 1.504455e-05 0.000029 0.000050 0.000081 0.000124 0.000180 0.000254
2025-02-09 1.299010e-05 0.000027 0.000048 0.000081 0.000127 0.000188 0.000270
2025-02-16 1.245169e-05 0.000027 0.000050 0.000086 0.000137 0.000205 0.000298
2025-02-23 1.082496e-05 0.000025 0.000048 0.000086 0.000140 0.000213 0.000314
2025-03-02 8.739890e-06 0.000022 0.000045 0.000082 0.000138 0.000213 0.000321
2025-03-09 7.262807e-06 0.000020 0.000043 0.000082 0.000141 0.000223 0.000341
2025-03-16 5.827322e-06 0.000018 0.000041 0.000080 0.000143 0.000231 0.000358
2025-03-23 4.692675e-06 0.000016 0.000039 0.000079 0.000145 0.000239 0.000377
2025-03-30 3.724741e-06 0.000014 0.000037 0.000078 0.000146 0.000246 0.000394
2025-04-06 2.811404e-06 0.000012 0.000034 0.000076 0.000146 0.000250 0.000407
2025-04-13 2.017392e-06 0.000010 0.000031 0.000072 0.000144 0.000251 0.000416
2025-04-20 1.483599e-06 0.000009 0.000029 0.000070 0.000143 0.000255 0.000428
2025-04-27 1.295104e-06 0.000009 0.000029 0.000072 0.000150 0.000270 0.000457
2025-05-04 1.015034e-06 0.000008 0.000028 0.000072 0.000153 0.000279 0.000476
2025-05-11 9.733624e-07 0.000008 0.000029 0.000077 0.000163 0.000300 0.000514
2025-05-18 7.558862e-07 0.000007 0.000028 0.000076 0.000166 0.000308 0.000534